Harry Kane’s record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 61-plus goals, a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double with Bayern Munich, and key contributions as England reached the World Cup semifinals, has made him the clear frontrunner for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri, whose Golden Ball performance and midfield control add strong momentum, while PSG’s Ousmane Dembélé and Kylian Mbappé remain in contention through Champions League success and consistent elite output. The 30-man shortlist released in early September narrowed the field ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London, with voters weighing club silverware, individual stats, and international impact in a World Cup year. Late-season form and any surprise injuries could still shift the final three spots among the tightly grouped contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$80,497 Vol.
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
62%
Rodri
49%
Lionel Messi
26%
Ousmane Dembélé
17%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Declan Rice
4%
Fabian Ruiz
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Vitinha
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Pau Cubarsi
7%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
$80,497 Vol.
Harry Kane
94%
Lamine Yamal
83%
Kylian Mbappé
62%
Rodri
49%
Lionel Messi
26%
Ousmane Dembélé
17%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
16%
Declan Rice
4%
Fabian Ruiz
4%
Jude Bellingham
3%
Vitinha
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Luis Diaz
2%
Lautaro Martinez
2%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Pau Cubarsi
7%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Harry Kane’s record-breaking 2025-26 campaign, featuring 61-plus goals, a Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal double with Bayern Munich, and key contributions as England reached the World Cup semifinals, has made him the clear frontrunner for a top-three Ballon d’Or finish. Spain’s World Cup triumph elevated Lamine Yamal and Rodri, whose Golden Ball performance and midfield control add strong momentum, while PSG’s Ousmane Dembélé and Kylian Mbappé remain in contention through Champions League success and consistent elite output. The 30-man shortlist released in early September narrowed the field ahead of the October 26 ceremony in London, with voters weighing club silverware, individual stats, and international impact in a World Cup year. Late-season form and any surprise injuries could still shift the final three spots among the tightly grouped contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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