Santiago Wanderers and Cobreloa sit atop the 2026 Liga de Ascenso table with 44 and 42 points after 24 matches, but the battle for runner-up remains wide open with roughly six rounds left. San Luis trails by just three points, while Antofagasta, Recoleta, Magallanes, and Unión Española cluster within six points of second place, each carrying strong goal differences or recent momentum. The promotion format—direct ascent for the champion and liguilla access for positions two through eight—keeps pressure high across the upper half, as any combination of results in the remaining fixtures can reshuffle the order. This depth of contenders, combined with the narrow margins separating the leaders, underpins the market’s closely bunched implied probabilities for the final runner-up.