Alexander Zverev holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% following the pre-tournament withdrawal of Jannik Sinner with a knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz’s five-set quarterfinal loss to Ben Shelton. Zverev’s recent French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and strong hard-court results, including multiple five-set wins at the US Open, underpin trader confidence in his experience and serving consistency. Shelton’s surge to 37.3% reflects his powerful baseline game and momentum after eliminating the defending champion in a late-night match. Frances Tiafoe at 9.7% and Karen Khachanov at 8.0% benefit from semifinal and quarterfinal paths respectively, while longshots like Casper Ruud and Alexander Blockx remain distant due to earlier exits or limited recent form on the surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlexander Zverev 45.5%
Ben Shelton 37.3%
Frances Tiafoe 9.7%
Karen Khachanov 8.0%
$24,173,760 Vol.
$24,173,760 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
46%
Ben Shelton
37%
Frances Tiafoe
10%
Karen Khachanov
8%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alexander Blockx
<1%
Alexander Zverev 45.5%
Ben Shelton 37.3%
Frances Tiafoe 9.7%
Karen Khachanov 8.0%
$24,173,760 Vol.
$24,173,760 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
46%
Ben Shelton
37%
Frances Tiafoe
10%
Karen Khachanov
8%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alexander Blockx
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Zverev holds the highest implied probability at 45.5% following the pre-tournament withdrawal of Jannik Sinner with a knee injury and Carlos Alcaraz’s five-set quarterfinal loss to Ben Shelton. Zverev’s recent French Open title, Wimbledon final appearance, and strong hard-court results, including multiple five-set wins at the US Open, underpin trader confidence in his experience and serving consistency. Shelton’s surge to 37.3% reflects his powerful baseline game and momentum after eliminating the defending champion in a late-night match. Frances Tiafoe at 9.7% and Karen Khachanov at 8.0% benefit from semifinal and quarterfinal paths respectively, while longshots like Casper Ruud and Alexander Blockx remain distant due to earlier exits or limited recent form on the surface.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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