Humanoid predictions & odds

Tech·Big Tech

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

$123K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$123K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$29.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$29.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$367K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

94%

Anthropic

$367K Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$54.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

87%

40%+

$54.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

$2M Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

$17.7K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

December 31

$17.7K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

$34.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$34.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$101K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

79%

45%+

$101K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

$22.0K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

87%

December 31, 2027

$22.0K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$20.7K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

97%

45%+

$20.7K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Japan

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

$11.4K Vol.

$558 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$11.4K Vol.

$558 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __?

$3M Vol.

$101K today

$186K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

87%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$101K today

$186K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

$6.3K Vol.

$980 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

86%

November 30

$6.3K Vol.

$980 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$95.4K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

82%

55%+

$95.4K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$70.7K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

53%

60%+

$70.7K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$103K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

85%

55%+

$103K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

$11 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

$11 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$78.3K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

80%

50%+

$78.3K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$55.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

31%

55%+

$55.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$103K Vol.

$650 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

19%

$103K Vol.

$650 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanoid.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Humanoid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Anthropic IPO by __?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Anthropic IPO by __?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanoid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Humanoid shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Anthropic IPO by __?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Humanoid prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Humanoid prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Humanoid predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Humanoid prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Humanoid markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Humanoid prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Humanoid predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Humanoid odds?

Can I track Humanoid predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Humanoid markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Humanoid prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Humanoid markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Humanoid prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Humanoid predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Humanoid odds?

Can I track Humanoid predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Humanoid markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Humanoid predictions & odds