Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and the open-seat contest for retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis's position underpin trader consensus around Harriet Hageman's commanding lead. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and benefits from the state's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent federal races, including a 45-point presidential win in 2024. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but confronts limited fundraising and structural barriers typical of the party's performance in the state. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with forecasts rating the race Solid Republican. Only unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or health events could realistically shift the current implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,782 Wol.
$16,782 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,782 Wol.
$16,782 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,127 Wol.
96%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and the open-seat contest for retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis's position underpin trader consensus around Harriet Hageman's commanding lead. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and benefits from the state's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent federal races, including a 45-point presidential win in 2024. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but confronts limited fundraising and structural barriers typical of the party's performance in the state. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with forecasts rating the race Solid Republican. Only unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or health events could realistically shift the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,782Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and the open-seat contest for retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis's position underpin trader consensus around Harriet Hageman's commanding lead. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and benefits from the state's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent federal races, including a 45-point presidential win in 2024. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but confronts limited fundraising and structural barriers typical of the party's performance in the state. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with forecasts rating the race Solid Republican. Only unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or health events could realistically shift the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$16,782Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and the open-seat contest for retiring Sen. Cynthia Lummis's position underpin trader consensus around Harriet Hageman's commanding lead. Hageman secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with nearly 65 percent of the vote and benefits from the state's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent federal races, including a 45-point presidential win in 2024. Democratic nominee James W. Byrd, a former state representative, won his primary but confronts limited fundraising and structural barriers typical of the party's performance in the state. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with forecasts rating the race Solid Republican. Only unforeseen late developments such as major scandals or health events could realistically shift the current implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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