Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved federal charges, allowing him to maintain subcommittee leadership. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that created a modest Republican tilt on paper. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Cuellar ahead among likely voters, aided by crossover support in the Latino-heavy district. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, benefits from Trump endorsements and shared appearances emphasizing border security and turnout, yet trails in fundraising and most head-to-head measures as the November 3 general election approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-28 House Election Winner
TX-28 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
78%
Tano Tijerina (R)
20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Henry Cuellar (D)
$4,115 Wol.
78%
Tano Tijerina (R)
$5,446 Wol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved federal charges, allowing him to maintain subcommittee leadership. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that created a modest Republican tilt on paper. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Cuellar ahead among likely voters, aided by crossover support in the Latino-heavy district. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, benefits from Trump endorsements and shared appearances emphasizing border security and turnout, yet trails in fundraising and most head-to-head measures as the November 3 general election approaches.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,560Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved federal charges, allowing him to maintain subcommittee leadership. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that created a modest Republican tilt on paper. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Cuellar ahead among likely voters, aided by crossover support in the Latino-heavy district. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, benefits from Trump endorsements and shared appearances emphasizing border security and turnout, yet trails in fundraising and most head-to-head measures as the November 3 general election approaches.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$9,560Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Henry Cuellar holds a strong position in the TX-28 race due to his long incumbency, decisive primary win, and the December 2025 presidential pardon that resolved federal charges, allowing him to maintain subcommittee leadership. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Lean Democratic following mid-decade redistricting that created a modest Republican tilt on paper. Recent polling, including an August 2026 Texas Southern University survey, shows Cuellar ahead among likely voters, aided by crossover support in the Latino-heavy district. Tano Tijerina, the Republican nominee and former Webb County judge who switched parties, benefits from Trump endorsements and shared appearances emphasizing border security and turnout, yet trails in fundraising and most head-to-head measures as the November 3 general election approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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