Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, the Best Documentary Feature market shows no dominant frontrunner, with trader consensus spreading probability across dozens of titles and "Other" at 50%. Specific contenders like Once Upon a Time in Harlem hold the highest implied odds at 18.5%, followed by American Doctor at 11.5%, reflecting limited release data and absent precursor signals such as festival premieres or guild buzz. This fragmentation stems from the category's historical volatility, where late-year releases and critical reception can rapidly shift momentum ahead of the Academy's secret ballot. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and streaming metrics that could consolidate support among guild voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 19%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 8%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,189 Wol.
$24,189 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
19%
American Doctor
12%
One in a Million
8%
Tutu
5%
Musk
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
2%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 19%
American Doctor 12%
One in a Million 8%
Tutu 4.6%
$24,189 Wol.
$24,189 Wol.
Mar 14, 2027
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$1,935 Wol.
19%
American Doctor
$11,577 Wol.
12%
One in a Million
$2,129 Wol.
8%
Tutu
$699 Wol.
5%
Musk
$51 Wol.
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$139 Wol.
4%
Nuisance Bear
$7,659 Wol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, the Best Documentary Feature market shows no dominant frontrunner, with trader consensus spreading probability across dozens of titles and "Other" at 50%. Specific contenders like Once Upon a Time in Harlem hold the highest implied odds at 18.5%, followed by American Doctor at 11.5%, reflecting limited release data and absent precursor signals such as festival premieres or guild buzz. This fragmentation stems from the category's historical volatility, where late-year releases and critical reception can rapidly shift momentum ahead of the Academy's secret ballot. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and streaming metrics that could consolidate support among guild voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,189Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, the Best Documentary Feature market shows no dominant frontrunner, with trader consensus spreading probability across dozens of titles and "Other" at 50%. Specific contenders like Once Upon a Time in Harlem hold the highest implied odds at 18.5%, followed by American Doctor at 11.5%, reflecting limited release data and absent precursor signals such as festival premieres or guild buzz. This fragmentation stems from the category's historical volatility, where late-year releases and critical reception can rapidly shift momentum ahead of the Academy's secret ballot. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and streaming metrics that could consolidate support among guild voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$24,189Data zakończenia
Mar 14, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, the Best Documentary Feature market shows no dominant frontrunner, with trader consensus spreading probability across dozens of titles and "Other" at 50%. Specific contenders like Once Upon a Time in Harlem hold the highest implied odds at 18.5%, followed by American Doctor at 11.5%, reflecting limited release data and absent precursor signals such as festival premieres or guild buzz. This fragmentation stems from the category's historical volatility, where late-year releases and critical reception can rapidly shift momentum ahead of the Academy's secret ballot. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival debuts and streaming metrics that could consolidate support among guild voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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