Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record 2025-26 campaign that delivered 61 goals in 51 club matches for Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich plus key contributions for England’s third-place World Cup finish. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume, European Golden Shoe contention, and all-around forward play as the decisive edge over collective achievements by other nominees. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.4% on the back of Barcelona consistency and Spain’s World Cup success despite injury-limited tournament minutes. Kylian Mbappé follows at 10.9% after strong Real Madrid output and Golden Boot form, while Rodri’s 4.5% reflects his central role in Spain’s title run. The shortlist announcement on September 8 and Kane’s statistical dominance have solidified the current hierarchy ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Zwycięzca Ballon d'Or 2026
Harry Kane 62.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Kylian Mbappé 10.9%
Rodri 5%
$34,162,629 Wol.
$34,162,629 Wol.
Harry Kane
63%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
11%
Rodri
5%
Lionel Messi
3%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
3%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Harry Kane 62.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Kylian Mbappé 10.9%
Rodri 5%
$34,162,629 Wol.
$34,162,629 Wol.
Harry Kane
63%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Kylian Mbappé
11%
Rodri
5%
Lionel Messi
3%
Chwicza Kwaracchelia
3%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 62.5% implied probability after a record 2025-26 campaign that delivered 61 goals in 51 club matches for Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich plus key contributions for England’s third-place World Cup finish. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume, European Golden Shoe contention, and all-around forward play as the decisive edge over collective achievements by other nominees. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.4% on the back of Barcelona consistency and Spain’s World Cup success despite injury-limited tournament minutes. Kylian Mbappé follows at 10.9% after strong Real Madrid output and Golden Boot form, while Rodri’s 4.5% reflects his central role in Spain’s title run. The shortlist announcement on September 8 and Kane’s statistical dominance have solidified the current hierarchy ahead of the October 26 ceremony.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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