**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges to which they pleaded not guilty, with a trial set for June 1, 2027. Recent developments include Flores’s September 2026 motion for house arrest citing cardiac issues and a November 2026 hearing on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. Trader consensus on near-term release markets reflects the standard timeline for complex federal cases, limited bail prospects in drug-related prosecutions, and the absence of plea or dismissal signals that would alter detention status before key court dates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$2,689,498 Wol.
Jan 30, 2026
31 grudnia
7%
$2,689,498 Wol.
31 grudnia
$294,049 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges to which they pleaded not guilty, with a trial set for June 1, 2027. Recent developments include Flores’s September 2026 motion for house arrest citing cardiac issues and a November 2026 hearing on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. Trader consensus on near-term release markets reflects the standard timeline for complex federal cases, limited bail prospects in drug-related prosecutions, and the absence of plea or dismissal signals that would alter detention status before key court dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,689,498Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges to which they pleaded not guilty, with a trial set for June 1, 2027. Recent developments include Flores’s September 2026 motion for house arrest citing cardiac issues and a November 2026 hearing on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. Trader consensus on near-term release markets reflects the standard timeline for complex federal cases, limited bail prospects in drug-related prosecutions, and the absence of plea or dismissal signals that would alter detention status before key court dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$2,689,498Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces in Caracas.** He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges to which they pleaded not guilty, with a trial set for June 1, 2027. Recent developments include Flores’s September 2026 motion for house arrest citing cardiac issues and a November 2026 hearing on defense claims of head-of-state immunity. Trader consensus on near-term release markets reflects the standard timeline for complex federal cases, limited bail prospects in drug-related prosecutions, and the absence of plea or dismissal signals that would alter detention status before key court dates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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