Recent Security Council straw polls have positioned Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett as the clear frontrunners in the race to succeed António Guterres, whose second term ends December 31, 2026. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and current UNCTAD secretary-general, led the third informal poll on September 18 with nine encourage votes, reflecting broad diplomatic engagement and multilateral experience including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Rodrigues-Birkett, Guyana’s UN ambassador with CARICOM backing, followed closely. Lower support for candidates such as Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others, combined with Michelle Bachelet’s withdrawal, has consolidated trader consensus around these two amid ongoing P5 consultations and the need for eventual General Assembly approval before the January 2027 transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 43%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 33.8%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.2%
Rafael Grossi 4.0%
$200,605 Wol.
$200,605 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
43%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
34%
María Fernanda Espinosa
11%
Rafael Grossi
4%
Macky Sall
3%
Michelle Bachelet
1%
Olara Otunnu
1%
Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 43%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 33.8%
María Fernanda Espinosa 11.2%
Rafael Grossi 4.0%
$200,605 Wol.
$200,605 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$20,976 Wol.
43%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
$4,202 Wol.
34%
María Fernanda Espinosa
$7,504 Wol.
11%
Rafael Grossi
$28,325 Wol.
4%
Macky Sall
$121,640 Wol.
3%
Michelle Bachelet
$12,166 Wol.
1%
Olara Otunnu
$3,049 Wol.
1%
Ivonne de Baki
$2,742 Wol.
1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Security Council straw polls have positioned Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett as the clear frontrunners in the race to succeed António Guterres, whose second term ends December 31, 2026. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and current UNCTAD secretary-general, led the third informal poll on September 18 with nine encourage votes, reflecting broad diplomatic engagement and multilateral experience including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Rodrigues-Birkett, Guyana’s UN ambassador with CARICOM backing, followed closely. Lower support for candidates such as Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others, combined with Michelle Bachelet’s withdrawal, has consolidated trader consensus around these two amid ongoing P5 consultations and the need for eventual General Assembly approval before the January 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$200,605Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Security Council straw polls have positioned Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett as the clear frontrunners in the race to succeed António Guterres, whose second term ends December 31, 2026. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and current UNCTAD secretary-general, led the third informal poll on September 18 with nine encourage votes, reflecting broad diplomatic engagement and multilateral experience including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Rodrigues-Birkett, Guyana’s UN ambassador with CARICOM backing, followed closely. Lower support for candidates such as Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others, combined with Michelle Bachelet’s withdrawal, has consolidated trader consensus around these two amid ongoing P5 consultations and the need for eventual General Assembly approval before the January 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$200,605Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Security Council straw polls have positioned Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett as the clear frontrunners in the race to succeed António Guterres, whose second term ends December 31, 2026. Grynspan, Costa Rica’s former vice president and current UNCTAD secretary-general, led the third informal poll on September 18 with nine encourage votes, reflecting broad diplomatic engagement and multilateral experience including the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Rodrigues-Birkett, Guyana’s UN ambassador with CARICOM backing, followed closely. Lower support for candidates such as Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others, combined with Michelle Bachelet’s withdrawal, has consolidated trader consensus around these two amid ongoing P5 consultations and the need for eventual General Assembly approval before the January 2027 transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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