Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Opus released by...?
Next Claude Opus released by...?
$99,288 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
69%
October 31
98%
December 31
99%
$99,288 Wol.
September 30
$39,488 Wol.
69%
October 31
$13,267 Wol.
98%
December 31
$5,019 Wol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$99,288Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$99,288Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus iteration cycle drives current trader focus, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-efficient model approaching Fable 5 capabilities on coding and knowledge benchmarks like Frontier-Bench while maintaining the same $5/$25 per million token pricing. The company delivered incremental Opus upgrades roughly every six to ten weeks through mid-2026 (Opus 4.6–4.8) before shifting to the 5-series flagship, reflecting emphasis on hybrid reasoning, effort controls, and agentic workflows amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases on September 1 signal ongoing 5-series refinement, though no official timeline exists for the next dedicated Opus update or higher-intelligence class. Traders monitor earnings calls, developer conferences, and benchmark reports for signals on release cadence or delays tied to safety evaluations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania