Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, and remains the sole active entry in its tier as of September 2026 despite multiple updates to Opus, Sonnet, and the new Fable/Mythos lines reaching version 5.1. The company has skipped Haiku refreshes aligned with February 2026’s 4.6 revisions and June’s frontier releases, leaving the fast, low-cost model a generation behind on context, extended thinking, and agent capabilities. Traders focus on historical patterns where smaller variants follow flagship drops, plus near-term signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could confirm a 2026 release window. No official timeline has emerged, sustaining uncertainty around exact timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Claude Haiku released by...?
October 15
37%
October 31
60%
December 31
56%
$9,502 Wol.
October 15
37%
October 31
60%
December 31
56%
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, and remains the sole active entry in its tier as of September 2026 despite multiple updates to Opus, Sonnet, and the new Fable/Mythos lines reaching version 5.1. The company has skipped Haiku refreshes aligned with February 2026’s 4.6 revisions and June’s frontier releases, leaving the fast, low-cost model a generation behind on context, extended thinking, and agent capabilities. Traders focus on historical patterns where smaller variants follow flagship drops, plus near-term signals such as API deprecation notices, earnings commentary, or developer events that could confirm a 2026 release window. No official timeline has emerged, sustaining uncertainty around exact timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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