USGS monitoring data for the September 14–20 window showed global seismic activity aligned closely with long-term averages for events at or above magnitude 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, producing a count that traders viewed as most probable at seven. Key contributors included isolated moderate-to-strong quakes such as the M6.5 event west of Alaska on September 17 and several M5.5–5.7 shocks in the southwest Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, without widespread aftershock sequences or tectonic triggering that would elevate totals. No anomalous clustering near major subduction zones or continental faults altered the baseline rate, keeping the distribution centered near the historical weekly expectation for this magnitude threshold. Updated catalog reviews and model consensus on completeness reinforced trader positioning toward seven over higher or lower outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 14 - September 20?
7 99.0%
13 4.5%
≤6 1.0%
10 <1%
$50,637 Wol.
$50,637 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
≤6
1%
7
84%
8
5%
9
<1%
10
1%
11
1%
12
<1%
13
5%
more than 13
<1%
7 99.0%
13 4.5%
≤6 1.0%
10 <1%
$50,637 Wol.
$50,637 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
≤6
$25,327 Wol.
1%
7
$8,031 Wol.
84%
8
$2,205 Wol.
5%
9
$1,211 Wol.
<1%
10
$984 Wol.
1%
11
$1,719 Wol.
1%
12
$4,318 Wol.
<1%
13
$1,753 Wol.
5%
more than 13
$5,089 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.USGS monitoring data for the September 14–20 window showed global seismic activity aligned closely with long-term averages for events at or above magnitude 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, producing a count that traders viewed as most probable at seven. Key contributors included isolated moderate-to-strong quakes such as the M6.5 event west of Alaska on September 17 and several M5.5–5.7 shocks in the southwest Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, without widespread aftershock sequences or tectonic triggering that would elevate totals. No anomalous clustering near major subduction zones or continental faults altered the baseline rate, keeping the distribution centered near the historical weekly expectation for this magnitude threshold. Updated catalog reviews and model consensus on completeness reinforced trader positioning toward seven over higher or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,637Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 4:54 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.USGS monitoring data for the September 14–20 window showed global seismic activity aligned closely with long-term averages for events at or above magnitude 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, producing a count that traders viewed as most probable at seven. Key contributors included isolated moderate-to-strong quakes such as the M6.5 event west of Alaska on September 17 and several M5.5–5.7 shocks in the southwest Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, without widespread aftershock sequences or tectonic triggering that would elevate totals. No anomalous clustering near major subduction zones or continental faults altered the baseline rate, keeping the distribution centered near the historical weekly expectation for this magnitude threshold. Updated catalog reviews and model consensus on completeness reinforced trader positioning toward seven over higher or lower outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between September 14, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, this market will resolve according to the data published at that time.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$50,637Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 4:54 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...USGS monitoring data for the September 14–20 window showed global seismic activity aligned closely with long-term averages for events at or above magnitude 5.5 on the moment magnitude scale, producing a count that traders viewed as most probable at seven. Key contributors included isolated moderate-to-strong quakes such as the M6.5 event west of Alaska on September 17 and several M5.5–5.7 shocks in the southwest Pacific and Indian Ocean regions, without widespread aftershock sequences or tectonic triggering that would elevate totals. No anomalous clustering near major subduction zones or continental faults altered the baseline rate, keeping the distribution centered near the historical weekly expectation for this magnitude threshold. Updated catalog reviews and model consensus on completeness reinforced trader positioning toward seven over higher or lower outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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