Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 61%
14°C 27%
16°C 12%
13°C 3%
NOWE
$10,382 Wol.
NOWE
$10,382 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
27%
15°C
61%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
14°C 27%
16°C 12%
13°C 3%
NOWE
$10,382 Wol.
NOWE
$10,382 Wol.
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$660 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$176 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$201 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$643 Wol.
2%
13°C
$1,700 Wol.
3%
14°C
$1,419 Wol.
27%
15°C
$2,968 Wol.
61%
16°C
$1,254 Wol.
12%
17°C
$532 Wol.
1%
18°C
$357 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$471 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,382Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,382Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by a post-frontal northwest flow following a southerly change on the 10th that brought rain and cooler air. Spring transitional patterns in the region, modulated by Cook Strait winds and variable cloud cover, typically produce daytime maxima around seasonal averages of 14–16°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies. Short-range model consensus supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of clearing could adjust the daily high by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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