Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15 most likely near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover and support modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 15.5°C, though increasing marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical September 15 maxima have ranged from 7.3°C to 20.0°C, but recent model runs show tight clustering around the 15–17°C band with minimal shifts in the past 24 hours. Traders are weighting the consensus output heavily ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
16°C 43%
17°C 41%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
11%
16°C
43%
17°C
41%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 43%
17°C 41%
18°C 12%
15°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 Wol.
2%
12°C
$10 Wol.
3%
13°C
$10 Wol.
5%
14°C
$0 Wol.
6%
15°C
$0 Wol.
11%
16°C
$113 Wol.
43%
17°C
$34 Wol.
41%
18°C
$8 Wol.
12%
19°C
$10 Wol.
2%
20°C
$10 Wol.
2%
21°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15 most likely near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover and support modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 15.5°C, though increasing marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical September 15 maxima have ranged from 7.3°C to 20.0°C, but recent model runs show tight clustering around the 15–17°C band with minimal shifts in the past 24 hours. Traders are weighting the consensus output heavily ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Wolumen
$215Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15 most likely near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover and support modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 15.5°C, though increasing marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical September 15 maxima have ranged from 7.3°C to 20.0°C, but recent model runs show tight clustering around the 15–17°C band with minimal shifts in the past 24 hours. Traders are weighting the consensus output heavily ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$215Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15 most likely near 16–17°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow are expected to limit cloud cover and support modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 15.5°C, though increasing marine influence and potential afternoon cloud build-up introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Historical September 15 maxima have ranged from 7.3°C to 20.0°C, but recent model runs show tight clustering around the 15–17°C band with minimal shifts in the past 24 hours. Traders are weighting the consensus output heavily ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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