Weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Netherlands, with daytime maxima reaching 19°C in Amsterdam on September 22. This consensus aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover near 18–20°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and light southerly flow. Surface observations through the morning and early afternoon have tracked closely to these projections, reinforcing the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 19°C as the daily peak. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud cover or a brief frontal passage alters the thermal profile before sunset, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
19°C 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,924 Wol.
$42,924 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$42,924 Wol.
$42,924 Wol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and KNMI indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Netherlands, with daytime maxima reaching 19°C in Amsterdam on September 22. This consensus aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs hover near 18–20°C amid moderating Atlantic air masses and light southerly flow. Surface observations through the morning and early afternoon have tracked closely to these projections, reinforcing the market-implied 100% probability for exactly 19°C as the daily peak. Minor deviations remain possible if localized cloud cover or a brief frontal passage alters the thermal profile before sunset, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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