In Georgia's 9th congressional district, trader pricing reflects a solidly Republican seat where incumbent Andrew Clyde holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen ahead of the November general election. Primary results from May showed Clyde consolidating Republican support after defeating challengers, while Gegen advanced on the Democratic side, yet the district's partisan lean and historical margins keep the projected victory range concentrated between 25 and 35 points. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have not yet produced meaningful shifts in voter sentiment or turnout expectations. Factors that could widen or narrow the margin include national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific messaging on local issues, and voter participation rates in rural and suburban counties. The current distribution of probabilities across margin buckets indicates traders view the outcome as competitive within a safe-Republican baseline rather than a toss-up.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Republican 30-35% 37%
Republican 25-30% 28%
Republican 20-25% 27%
Republican 15-20% 7.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 45%+
2%
Republican 40-45%
1%
Republican 35-40%
2%
Republican 30-35%
37%
Republican 25-30%
28%
Republican 20-25%
27%
Republican 15-20%
8%
Republican 5-15%
1%
Republican 0-5%
2%
Democrat Wins
1%
Republican 30-35% 37%
Republican 25-30% 28%
Republican 20-25% 27%
Republican 15-20% 7.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 45%+
$292 Wol.
2%
Republican 40-45%
$267 Wol.
1%
Republican 35-40%
$372 Wol.
2%
Republican 30-35%
$863 Wol.
37%
Republican 25-30%
$871 Wol.
28%
Republican 20-25%
$900 Wol.
27%
Republican 15-20%
$364 Wol.
8%
Republican 5-15%
$499 Wol.
1%
Republican 0-5%
$453 Wol.
2%
Democrat Wins
$239 Wol.
1%
The 2026 GA-09 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Georgia's 9th congressional district, trader pricing reflects a solidly Republican seat where incumbent Andrew Clyde holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen ahead of the November general election. Primary results from May showed Clyde consolidating Republican support after defeating challengers, while Gegen advanced on the Democratic side, yet the district's partisan lean and historical margins keep the projected victory range concentrated between 25 and 35 points. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have not yet produced meaningful shifts in voter sentiment or turnout expectations. Factors that could widen or narrow the margin include national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific messaging on local issues, and voter participation rates in rural and suburban counties. The current distribution of probabilities across margin buckets indicates traders view the outcome as competitive within a safe-Republican baseline rather than a toss-up.
The 2026 GA-09 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,119Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 GA-09 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In Georgia's 9th congressional district, trader pricing reflects a solidly Republican seat where incumbent Andrew Clyde holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen ahead of the November general election. Primary results from May showed Clyde consolidating Republican support after defeating challengers, while Gegen advanced on the Democratic side, yet the district's partisan lean and historical margins keep the projected victory range concentrated between 25 and 35 points. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have not yet produced meaningful shifts in voter sentiment or turnout expectations. Factors that could widen or narrow the margin include national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific messaging on local issues, and voter participation rates in rural and suburban counties. The current distribution of probabilities across margin buckets indicates traders view the outcome as competitive within a safe-Republican baseline rather than a toss-up.
The 2026 GA-09 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 GA-09 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$5,119Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:37 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 9th congressional district, trader pricing reflects a solidly Republican seat where incumbent Andrew Clyde holds a clear edge over Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen ahead of the November general election. Primary results from May showed Clyde consolidating Republican support after defeating challengers, while Gegen advanced on the Democratic side, yet the district's partisan lean and historical margins keep the projected victory range concentrated between 25 and 35 points. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have not yet produced meaningful shifts in voter sentiment or turnout expectations. Factors that could widen or narrow the margin include national midterm dynamics, candidate-specific messaging on local issues, and voter participation rates in rural and suburban counties. The current distribution of probabilities across margin buckets indicates traders view the outcome as competitive within a safe-Republican baseline rather than a toss-up.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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