Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?
97% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Mar 31, 2027
97% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Mar 31, 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Wolumen
$848Data zakończenia
Apr 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Wolumen
$848Data zakończenia
Apr 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Caitlyn Gegen took the Democratic nod at 60%, clearing the majority threshold without runoffs. The general election features only these two candidates in a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters, with a partisan lean that has delivered consistent double-digit margins for the GOP nominee. Traders assign 97.3% probability to an outright winner on November 3 because Georgia law triggers a December runoff only if no candidate reaches 50%, a threshold Clyde is positioned to exceed comfortably. Late shifts remain possible if a viable independent enters or turnout patterns deviate sharply from historical norms, though neither development appears imminent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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