**The dominant driver behind the 86% market-implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled)” for Bachelorette Season 22 is ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull the already-filmed season starring Taylor Frankie Paul just days before its planned March 22 premiere.** A newly surfaced 2023 video of a domestic altercation involving Paul and ex-boyfriend Dakota Mortensen triggered the move, with the network citing a desire to support the family amid an ongoing investigation. Although filming wrapped in late 2025 with a full cast of suitors—including frontrunner Doug Mason at 10%—no broadcast or official resolution has occurred. Recent September 2026 comments from Paul confirming an on-show engagement and Disney executives describing the situation as “day by day” have not shifted trader consensus, as the absence of an air date or replacement season keeps the outcome priced as a non-event rather than a completed competition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca 22 sezonu panieńskiego
Other (Season Cancelled) 86%
Doug Mason 10.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Michael Baba <1%
$2,465,928 Wol.
$2,465,928 Wol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
86%
Doug Mason
10%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 86%
Doug Mason 10.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Michael Baba <1%
$2,465,928 Wol.
$2,465,928 Wol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
86%
Doug Mason
10%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant driver behind the 86% market-implied probability on “Other (Season Cancelled)” for Bachelorette Season 22 is ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull the already-filmed season starring Taylor Frankie Paul just days before its planned March 22 premiere.** A newly surfaced 2023 video of a domestic altercation involving Paul and ex-boyfriend Dakota Mortensen triggered the move, with the network citing a desire to support the family amid an ongoing investigation. Although filming wrapped in late 2025 with a full cast of suitors—including frontrunner Doug Mason at 10%—no broadcast or official resolution has occurred. Recent September 2026 comments from Paul confirming an on-show engagement and Disney executives describing the situation as “day by day” have not shifted trader consensus, as the absence of an air date or replacement season keeps the outcome priced as a non-event rather than a completed competition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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