Uganda enters the AFCON 2027 Group H qualifier as slight favorites at home against Libya, buoyed by a resilient 1-1 draw away to Tunisia where Rogers Mato’s second-half equalizer offset an early set-piece concession. Coach Paul Put has emphasized defensive organization and set-piece improvements ahead of the September 29 clash at the new Hoima City Stadium. Libya arrives after a 2-2 home draw with Botswana, seeking their first win in the group while traveling to face a side already assured of AFCON participation as co-hosts. Uganda’s recent home form and squad continuity provide the primary edge reflected in trader pricing, though both teams’ draw-heavy recent results underscore the potential for a low-scoring, tightly contested outcome.