Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$97,548 Vol.
$97,548 Vol.
2026/11/02
ライリー・ムーア（共和党）
96%
エース・パルシ（民主党）
2%
$97,548 Vol.
$97,548 Vol.
2026/11/02
ライリー・ムーア（共和党）
$69,113 Vol.
96%
エース・パルシ（民主党）
$28,435 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$97,548終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$97,548終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Riley Moore's commanding position stems from West Virginia's 2nd district's consistent Republican tilt, evidenced by his 2024 general election margin exceeding 40 points and the area's presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by over 35 points. Moore, unopposed in the May 2026 primary, benefits from substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $1.3 million compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi's roughly $134,000, along with recent appropriations securing millions for local infrastructure projects. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus pricing this outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or an unanticipated national partisan swing altering turnout dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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