The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 on four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely divided because conviction requires the concurrence of two-thirds of all 24 senators. Recent proceedings have highlighted uncertainty over whether the threshold counts only senators able to participate amid absences, detentions, and medical leaves, with oral arguments and a potential vote on the issue scheduled for September 23 after amici curiae input. Prosecution evidence on the first article concluded quickly with dropped witnesses, shifting focus to wealth allegations, while Duterte-aligned blocs and procedural challenges continue to shape outcomes. These factors, combined with the high evidentiary bar and ongoing multi-month timeline into 2027, sustain trader views that acquittal edges out conviction under current alignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日49% 確率
$12,516 Vol.
$12,516 Vol.
2026/12/30
49% 確率
$12,516 Vol.
$12,516 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 on four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely divided because conviction requires the concurrence of two-thirds of all 24 senators. Recent proceedings have highlighted uncertainty over whether the threshold counts only senators able to participate amid absences, detentions, and medical leaves, with oral arguments and a potential vote on the issue scheduled for September 23 after amici curiae input. Prosecution evidence on the first article concluded quickly with dropped witnesses, shifting focus to wealth allegations, while Duterte-aligned blocs and procedural challenges continue to shape outcomes. These factors, combined with the high evidentiary bar and ongoing multi-month timeline into 2027, sustain trader views that acquittal edges out conviction under current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
音量
$12,516終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 on four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely divided because conviction requires the concurrence of two-thirds of all 24 senators. Recent proceedings have highlighted uncertainty over whether the threshold counts only senators able to participate amid absences, detentions, and medical leaves, with oral arguments and a potential vote on the issue scheduled for September 23 after amici curiae input. Prosecution evidence on the first article concluded quickly with dropped witnesses, shifting focus to wealth allegations, while Duterte-aligned blocs and procedural challenges continue to shape outcomes. These factors, combined with the high evidentiary bar and ongoing multi-month timeline into 2027, sustain trader views that acquittal edges out conviction under current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
音量
$12,516終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened in July 2026 on four articles covering alleged misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely divided because conviction requires the concurrence of two-thirds of all 24 senators. Recent proceedings have highlighted uncertainty over whether the threshold counts only senators able to participate amid absences, detentions, and medical leaves, with oral arguments and a potential vote on the issue scheduled for September 23 after amici curiae input. Prosecution evidence on the first article concluded quickly with dropped witnesses, shifting focus to wealth allegations, while Duterte-aligned blocs and procedural challenges continue to shape outcomes. These factors, combined with the high evidentiary bar and ongoing multi-month timeline into 2027, sustain trader views that acquittal edges out conviction under current alignments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問