OpenAI’s heavy focus on frontier large language models like GPT-6 Astra, ChatGPT enhancements, and superapp-style agent integrations has kept resources away from a full social network launch in 2026. The company’s earlier Sora 2 video app, positioned as a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated clips, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling engagement and moderation issues. Reports from early 2026 described only a small internal team exploring a biometric “humans-only” platform, still in early prototype stages with no confirmed timeline or major investment. Traders see the market-implied 94.5% chance of “No” as reflecting OpenAI’s IPO preparations and model roadmap priorities, though an accelerated integration of social feeds into ChatGPT or a surprise biometric rollout could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$63,462 Vol.
$63,462 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
6% 確率
$63,462 Vol.
$63,462 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s heavy focus on frontier large language models like GPT-6 Astra, ChatGPT enhancements, and superapp-style agent integrations has kept resources away from a full social network launch in 2026. The company’s earlier Sora 2 video app, positioned as a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated clips, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling engagement and moderation issues. Reports from early 2026 described only a small internal team exploring a biometric “humans-only” platform, still in early prototype stages with no confirmed timeline or major investment. Traders see the market-implied 94.5% chance of “No” as reflecting OpenAI’s IPO preparations and model roadmap priorities, though an accelerated integration of social feeds into ChatGPT or a surprise biometric rollout could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
音量
$63,462終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s heavy focus on frontier large language models like GPT-6 Astra, ChatGPT enhancements, and superapp-style agent integrations has kept resources away from a full social network launch in 2026. The company’s earlier Sora 2 video app, positioned as a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated clips, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling engagement and moderation issues. Reports from early 2026 described only a small internal team exploring a biometric “humans-only” platform, still in early prototype stages with no confirmed timeline or major investment. Traders see the market-implied 94.5% chance of “No” as reflecting OpenAI’s IPO preparations and model roadmap priorities, though an accelerated integration of social feeds into ChatGPT or a surprise biometric rollout could still shift outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$63,462終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s heavy focus on frontier large language models like GPT-6 Astra, ChatGPT enhancements, and superapp-style agent integrations has kept resources away from a full social network launch in 2026. The company’s earlier Sora 2 video app, positioned as a TikTok-style feed for AI-generated clips, launched in late 2025 but was discontinued by March 2026 amid falling engagement and moderation issues. Reports from early 2026 described only a small internal team exploring a biometric “humans-only” platform, still in early prototype stages with no confirmed timeline or major investment. Traders see the market-implied 94.5% chance of “No” as reflecting OpenAI’s IPO preparations and model roadmap priorities, though an accelerated integration of social feeds into ChatGPT or a surprise biometric rollout could still shift outcomes before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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