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icon for ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?

ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?

icon for ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?

ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?

$483,285 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$483,285 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$12,267 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has so far declined Netanyahu’s November 2025 request for a pre-verdict pardon in his long-running corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward mediated plea negotiations between the attorney general and defense counsel. Israeli precedent and Justice Ministry guidance indicate that clemency typically requires either a conviction or an admission of responsibility, conditions Netanyahu has resisted. Judges in Case 4000 have reiterated that the bribery count faces evidentiary challenges and urged prosecutors to consider dropping it, narrowing potential exposure while leaving fraud and breach-of-trust allegations intact. Coalition ministers continue pressing for clemency, and some opposition figures have floated conditional pardons tied to political retirement. The trial has advanced past Netanyahu’s testimony phase, with remaining defense witnesses and closing arguments expected to stretch proceedings well into 2027 or beyond absent a negotiated resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$483,285
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Isaac Herzog has so far declined Netanyahu’s November 2025 request for a pre-verdict pardon in his long-running corruption trial, instead directing efforts toward mediated plea negotiations between the attorney general and defense counsel. Israeli precedent and Justice Ministry guidance indicate that clemency typically requires either a conviction or an admission of responsibility, conditions Netanyahu has resisted. Judges in Case 4000 have reiterated that the bribery count faces evidentiary challenges and urged prosecutors to consider dropping it, narrowing potential exposure while leaving fraud and breach-of-trust allegations intact. Coalition ministers continue pressing for clemency, and some opposition figures have floated conditional pardons tied to political retirement. The trial has advanced past Netanyahu’s testimony phase, with remaining defense witnesses and closing arguments expected to stretch proceedings well into 2027 or beyond absent a negotiated resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$483,285
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で18%、次いで「6月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、18¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に18%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?」は$483.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「ネタニヤフは恩赦を受けますか... ?」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で18%であり、市場がこの結果に18%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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