Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman places Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook—likely a premium “MacBook Ultra” or high-end MacBook Pro with OLED display, Dynamic Island, and reinforced hinge—on track for late 2026 or early 2027, powered by existing M5 Pro and M5 Max chips rather than delayed M6 or M7 variants. macOS 27 Golden Gate includes touch-friendly interface elements such as enhanced Sidecar support, signaling software readiness, while supply-chain leaks and analyst notes reinforce the timeline despite past shifts and ongoing memory chip constraints. Traders see the narrow 55% implied probability for a 2026 release as reflecting credible but unconfirmed plans, with any October or November hardware event serving as the key near-term catalyst that could solidify or push back the window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
55% 確率
$64,993 Vol.
$64,993 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
55% 確率
$64,993 Vol.
$64,993 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman places Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook—likely a premium “MacBook Ultra” or high-end MacBook Pro with OLED display, Dynamic Island, and reinforced hinge—on track for late 2026 or early 2027, powered by existing M5 Pro and M5 Max chips rather than delayed M6 or M7 variants. macOS 27 Golden Gate includes touch-friendly interface elements such as enhanced Sidecar support, signaling software readiness, while supply-chain leaks and analyst notes reinforce the timeline despite past shifts and ongoing memory chip constraints. Traders see the narrow 55% implied probability for a 2026 release as reflecting credible but unconfirmed plans, with any October or November hardware event serving as the key near-term catalyst that could solidify or push back the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
音量
$64,993終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman places Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook—likely a premium “MacBook Ultra” or high-end MacBook Pro with OLED display, Dynamic Island, and reinforced hinge—on track for late 2026 or early 2027, powered by existing M5 Pro and M5 Max chips rather than delayed M6 or M7 variants. macOS 27 Golden Gate includes touch-friendly interface elements such as enhanced Sidecar support, signaling software readiness, while supply-chain leaks and analyst notes reinforce the timeline despite past shifts and ongoing memory chip constraints. Traders see the narrow 55% implied probability for a 2026 release as reflecting credible but unconfirmed plans, with any October or November hardware event serving as the key near-term catalyst that could solidify or push back the window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$64,993終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting from Mark Gurman places Apple’s first touchscreen MacBook—likely a premium “MacBook Ultra” or high-end MacBook Pro with OLED display, Dynamic Island, and reinforced hinge—on track for late 2026 or early 2027, powered by existing M5 Pro and M5 Max chips rather than delayed M6 or M7 variants. macOS 27 Golden Gate includes touch-friendly interface elements such as enhanced Sidecar support, signaling software readiness, while supply-chain leaks and analyst notes reinforce the timeline despite past shifts and ongoing memory chip constraints. Traders see the narrow 55% implied probability for a 2026 release as reflecting credible but unconfirmed plans, with any October or November hardware event serving as the key near-term catalyst that could solidify or push back the window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問