Apple faces steep regulatory and political barriers to sourcing CXMT DRAM despite earlier lobbying for U.S. approval amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes. CXMT remains on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of alleged Chinese military-linked firms, and reports indicate the Trump administration declined Apple’s request for assurances against Entity List placement that would impose licensing hurdles. While CXMT’s CEO stated openness to an Apple partnership and its new G5 platform entered mass production in September with competitive LPDDR5X chips, limited wafer capacity, ongoing U.S.-China tensions, and warnings from lawmakers continue to deter commitments. Traders see these factors sustaining high odds against any 2026 purchases even as Apple explores diversification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
21% 確率
$22,350 Vol.
$22,350 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
21% 確率
$22,350 Vol.
$22,350 Vol.
2026/12/31
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple faces steep regulatory and political barriers to sourcing CXMT DRAM despite earlier lobbying for U.S. approval amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes. CXMT remains on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of alleged Chinese military-linked firms, and reports indicate the Trump administration declined Apple’s request for assurances against Entity List placement that would impose licensing hurdles. While CXMT’s CEO stated openness to an Apple partnership and its new G5 platform entered mass production in September with competitive LPDDR5X chips, limited wafer capacity, ongoing U.S.-China tensions, and warnings from lawmakers continue to deter commitments. Traders see these factors sustaining high odds against any 2026 purchases even as Apple explores diversification.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
音量
$22,350終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple faces steep regulatory and political barriers to sourcing CXMT DRAM despite earlier lobbying for U.S. approval amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes. CXMT remains on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of alleged Chinese military-linked firms, and reports indicate the Trump administration declined Apple’s request for assurances against Entity List placement that would impose licensing hurdles. While CXMT’s CEO stated openness to an Apple partnership and its new G5 platform entered mass production in September with competitive LPDDR5X chips, limited wafer capacity, ongoing U.S.-China tensions, and warnings from lawmakers continue to deter commitments. Traders see these factors sustaining high odds against any 2026 purchases even as Apple explores diversification.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$22,350終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Apple faces steep regulatory and political barriers to sourcing CXMT DRAM despite earlier lobbying for U.S. approval amid 2026 memory shortages and price spikes. CXMT remains on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of alleged Chinese military-linked firms, and reports indicate the Trump administration declined Apple’s request for assurances against Entity List placement that would impose licensing hurdles. While CXMT’s CEO stated openness to an Apple partnership and its new G5 platform entered mass production in September with competitive LPDDR5X chips, limited wafer capacity, ongoing U.S.-China tensions, and warnings from lawmakers continue to deter commitments. Traders see these factors sustaining high odds against any 2026 purchases even as Apple explores diversification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問