Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market at 53% implied probability, driven by her debut album *Visitor* reaching No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the single “Die on This Hill” climbing to No. 19 on the Hot 100, and her confirmation as a first-time performer on the September 27 telecast. The seven-nominee field—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remains tightly bunched near 50% or lower, reflecting fan-voting dynamics and limited precursor signals in a category without strong guild or critics’ awards history. Recent performer announcements and streaming milestones have reinforced Spiro’s frontrunner status, though the live audience vote on show night leaves room for late momentum shifts among the K-pop, indie, and pop contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
シエナ・スピロ 53%
コーティス 38%
ステラ・レフティ 20%
ベラ・ケイ 19.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
53%
コーティス
38%
ステラ・レフティ
20%
ベラ・ケイ
19%
マルコム・トッド
8%
マグナス・フェレル
5%
マイルズ・スミス
4%
シエナ・スピロ 53%
コーティス 38%
ステラ・レフティ 20%
ベラ・ケイ 19.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
$20 Vol.
53%
コーティス
$20 Vol.
38%
ステラ・レフティ
$0 Vol.
20%
ベラ・ケイ
$21 Vol.
19%
マルコム・トッド
$1 Vol.
8%
マグナス・フェレル
$40 Vol.
5%
マイルズ・スミス
$0 Vol.
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market at 53% implied probability, driven by her debut album *Visitor* reaching No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the single “Die on This Hill” climbing to No. 19 on the Hot 100, and her confirmation as a first-time performer on the September 27 telecast. The seven-nominee field—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remains tightly bunched near 50% or lower, reflecting fan-voting dynamics and limited precursor signals in a category without strong guild or critics’ awards history. Recent performer announcements and streaming milestones have reinforced Spiro’s frontrunner status, though the live audience vote on show night leaves room for late momentum shifts among the K-pop, indie, and pop contenders.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$102終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market at 53% implied probability, driven by her debut album *Visitor* reaching No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the single “Die on This Hill” climbing to No. 19 on the Hot 100, and her confirmation as a first-time performer on the September 27 telecast. The seven-nominee field—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remains tightly bunched near 50% or lower, reflecting fan-voting dynamics and limited precursor signals in a category without strong guild or critics’ awards history. Recent performer announcements and streaming milestones have reinforced Spiro’s frontrunner status, though the live audience vote on show night leaves room for late momentum shifts among the K-pop, indie, and pop contenders.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$102終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market at 53% implied probability, driven by her debut album *Visitor* reaching No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the single “Die on This Hill” climbing to No. 19 on the Hot 100, and her confirmation as a first-time performer on the September 27 telecast. The seven-nominee field—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remains tightly bunched near 50% or lower, reflecting fan-voting dynamics and limited precursor signals in a category without strong guild or critics’ awards history. Recent performer announcements and streaming milestones have reinforced Spiro’s frontrunner status, though the live audience vote on show night leaves room for late momentum shifts among the K-pop, indie, and pop contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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