With multiple options clustered near even odds, the VMA Best Editing market reflects a wide-open field where no single music video has pulled ahead decisively. Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads at 43.5% implied probability on the strength of its precise cuts and narrative flow, while Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 35.5% thanks to its cinematic scope and established visual style. Lower probabilities for releases from Lisa, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Ariana Grande underscore the tight competition, driven by factors such as editing innovation, music synchronization, and overall production polish. The September ceremony and any final guild or critic signals could still shift momentum before votes are locked.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストエディティング2026
The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト) 44%
Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ) 36%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ) 9%
I Just Might(ブルーノ・マーズ) 4.0%
The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト)
44%
Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ)
36%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ)
9%
I Just Might(ブルーノ・マーズ)
4%
Dream(リサ feat.坂口健太郎)
4%
House Tour(サブリナ・カーペンター)
4%
The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト) 44%
Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ) 36%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ) 9%
I Just Might(ブルーノ・マーズ) 4.0%
The Fate of Ophelia(テイラー・スウィフト)
44%
Confessions II – The Film(マドンナ)
36%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(アリアナ・グランデ)
9%
I Just Might(ブルーノ・マーズ)
4%
Dream(リサ feat.坂口健太郎)
4%
House Tour(サブリナ・カーペンター)
4%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...With multiple options clustered near even odds, the VMA Best Editing market reflects a wide-open field where no single music video has pulled ahead decisively. Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads at 43.5% implied probability on the strength of its precise cuts and narrative flow, while Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 35.5% thanks to its cinematic scope and established visual style. Lower probabilities for releases from Lisa, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Ariana Grande underscore the tight competition, driven by factors such as editing innovation, music synchronization, and overall production polish. The September ceremony and any final guild or critic signals could still shift momentum before votes are locked.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問