The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on September 9, 2026, after retreating from its August peak near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields near 4.8% and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Robust corporate earnings remain the dominant driver, with consensus estimates for full-year 2026 EPS growth now at 25-31%, fueled by AI-related capital spending and revenue gains concentrated in technology and energy sectors. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.5-3.75% in July with a 9-3 vote, citing solid growth but sticky core inflation readings around 2.9-3.5%; upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will shape near-term rate expectations. Analyst price targets cluster between 8,000 and 8,150 for year-end 2026, though seasonal weakness, geopolitical risks, and potential volatility around midterms could pressure levels before December resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$341,390 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ 6,200ドル
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800ドル
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
6%
↓ 4,500ドル
3%
$341,390 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$203 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$9,564 Vol.
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
5%
↑ 8,600ドル
$30,614 Vol.
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,827 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
27%
↓ 6,200ドル
$53,694 Vol.
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 Vol.
11%
↓ 5,800ドル
$41,870 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,200ドル
$57,241 Vol.
6%
↓ 4,500ドル
$60,371 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on September 9, 2026, after retreating from its August peak near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields near 4.8% and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Robust corporate earnings remain the dominant driver, with consensus estimates for full-year 2026 EPS growth now at 25-31%, fueled by AI-related capital spending and revenue gains concentrated in technology and energy sectors. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.5-3.75% in July with a 9-3 vote, citing solid growth but sticky core inflation readings around 2.9-3.5%; upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will shape near-term rate expectations. Analyst price targets cluster between 8,000 and 8,150 for year-end 2026, though seasonal weakness, geopolitical risks, and potential volatility around midterms could pressure levels before December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$341,390終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on September 9, 2026, after retreating from its August peak near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields near 4.8% and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Robust corporate earnings remain the dominant driver, with consensus estimates for full-year 2026 EPS growth now at 25-31%, fueled by AI-related capital spending and revenue gains concentrated in technology and energy sectors. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.5-3.75% in July with a 9-3 vote, citing solid growth but sticky core inflation readings around 2.9-3.5%; upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will shape near-term rate expectations. Analyst price targets cluster between 8,000 and 8,150 for year-end 2026, though seasonal weakness, geopolitical risks, and potential volatility around midterms could pressure levels before December resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$341,390終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on September 9, 2026, after retreating from its August peak near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields near 4.8% and elevated oil prices linked to Middle East tensions. Robust corporate earnings remain the dominant driver, with consensus estimates for full-year 2026 EPS growth now at 25-31%, fueled by AI-related capital spending and revenue gains concentrated in technology and energy sectors. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.5-3.75% in July with a 9-3 vote, citing solid growth but sticky core inflation readings around 2.9-3.5%; upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will shape near-term rate expectations. Analyst price targets cluster between 8,000 and 8,150 for year-end 2026, though seasonal weakness, geopolitical risks, and potential volatility around midterms could pressure levels before December resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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