Jim Clyburn holds a commanding lead in the SC-06 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook PVI and historical voting patterns favoring the party by wide margins. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 1992, Clyburn secured his party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and voter base in a majority-minority district spanning parts of Charleston, Columbia, and rural counties. Republican nominee John Peterson, who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpected national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though current trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of such changes before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
ジム・クライバーン(民主党)
95%
ジョン・ピーターソン(共和党)
6%
$34,861 Vol.
$34,861 Vol.
ジム・クライバーン(民主党)
95%
ジョン・ピーターソン(共和党)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Clyburn holds a commanding lead in the SC-06 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Cook PVI and historical voting patterns favoring the party by wide margins. As the long-serving incumbent first elected in 1992, Clyburn secured his party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the June 2026 primary and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising, and voter base in a majority-minority district spanning parts of Charleston, Columbia, and rural counties. Republican nominee John Peterson, who won his primary, faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters, with limited crossover appeal. Late developments such as health concerns, major scandals, or an unexpected national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though current trader consensus prices in the low likelihood of such changes before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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