**Strong opening-weekend performance and typical mid-budget drop patterns position the 7-9 million range as the clear market favorite for “Primetime’s” second weekend.** The A24 true-crime thriller starring Robert Pattinson debuted to roughly $19.2 million in late September, marking the distributor’s third-biggest opening ever behind only “Backrooms” and “Civil War.” Positive reviews (87% on Rotten Tomatoes) and heavy Gen Z turnout helped the $15 million production punch above tracking, yet the film faces a crowded marketplace and the front-loaded profile common to star-driven originals. With total domestic gross already near $26 million by early October and historical legs around 1.4x for similar titles, traders expect a 50-60% decline, centering expectations squarely in the 7-9 million band. Upcoming chart updates and word-of-mouth trends remain the key swing factors.
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