Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 12th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+15 PVI and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Balderson advanced unopposed in the May primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian secured his party’s nomination after a low-turnout contest, and major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Balderson’s substantial fundraising edge and incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around the November 3 general election outcome. A shift in the broader midterm environment, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in national conditions could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,504 Vol.
$37,504 Vol.
2026/11/03
トロイ・バルダーソン（共和党）
95%
ジェラッド・クリスチャン（民主党）
5%
$37,504 Vol.
$37,504 Vol.
2026/11/03
トロイ・バルダーソン（共和党）
$24,472 Vol.
95%
ジェラッド・クリスチャン（民主党）
$13,033 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 12th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+15 PVI and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Balderson advanced unopposed in the May primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian secured his party’s nomination after a low-turnout contest, and major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Balderson’s substantial fundraising edge and incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around the November 3 general election outcome. A shift in the broader midterm environment, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in national conditions could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$37,504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 12th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+15 PVI and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Balderson advanced unopposed in the May primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian secured his party’s nomination after a low-turnout contest, and major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Balderson’s substantial fundraising edge and incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around the November 3 general election outcome. A shift in the broader midterm environment, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in national conditions could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Balderson holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 12th congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its R+15 PVI and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Balderson advanced unopposed in the May primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian secured his party’s nomination after a low-turnout contest, and major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Balderson’s substantial fundraising edge and incumbency further reinforce trader consensus around the November 3 general election outcome. A shift in the broader midterm environment, late-breaking scandal, or sharp change in national conditions could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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