Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solidly Republican. Jordan advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while seeking an eleventh term, facing Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who also ran unopposed in his primary, and an independent candidate. Forecasts project Jordan receiving roughly two-thirds of the vote in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns, though an unexpected national shift or late development could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ジョーダン（共和党）
95%
ジョシュア・コラシンスキー（民主党）
5%
$21,580 Vol.
$21,580 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ジョーダン（共和党）
$9,547 Vol.
95%
ジョシュア・コラシンスキー（民主党）
$12,032 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solidly Republican. Jordan advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while seeking an eleventh term, facing Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who also ran unopposed in his primary, and an independent candidate. Forecasts project Jordan receiving roughly two-thirds of the vote in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns, though an unexpected national shift or late development could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$21,580終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solidly Republican. Jordan advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while seeking an eleventh term, facing Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who also ran unopposed in his primary, and an independent candidate. Forecasts project Jordan receiving roughly two-thirds of the vote in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns, though an unexpected national shift or late development could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,580終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Jordan holds a commanding position in Ohio's 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solidly Republican. Jordan advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while seeking an eleventh term, facing Democrat Joshua Kolasinski, a small business owner who also ran unopposed in his primary, and an independent candidate. Forecasts project Jordan receiving roughly two-thirds of the vote in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns, though an unexpected national shift or late development could still alter the outcome in the remaining weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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