Microsoft shares closed at $495.63 on September 11, 2026, trading near the middle of the provided outcome ranges after a volatile summer that included a post-July 29 earnings rally on 43% Azure growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot momentum. Elevated fiscal 2026 capital spending above $115 billion and guidance for continued heavy investment in 2027 have tempered enthusiasm despite double-digit revenue expansion. With the next earnings release not until October 28 and no major catalysts expected in the week of September 14, trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around short-term momentum, sector rotation, and broader market volatility, resulting in competitive odds across lower, mid, and higher price bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$460~$470 39%
$540超 38%
$450〜$460 30%
$490~$500 30%
450ドル未満
27%
$450〜$460
30%
$460~$470
39%
$470〜$480
10%
$480~$490
22%
$490~$500
30%
500ドル〜510ドル
21%
$510~$520
10%
$520〜$530
28%
$530〜$540
27%
$540超
38%
$460~$470 39%
$540超 38%
$450〜$460 30%
$490~$500 30%
450ドル未満
27%
$450〜$460
30%
$460~$470
39%
$470〜$480
10%
$480~$490
22%
$490~$500
30%
500ドル〜510ドル
21%
$510~$520
10%
$520〜$530
28%
$530〜$540
27%
$540超
38%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Microsoft shares closed at $495.63 on September 11, 2026, trading near the middle of the provided outcome ranges after a volatile summer that included a post-July 29 earnings rally on 43% Azure growth and Microsoft 365 Copilot momentum. Elevated fiscal 2026 capital spending above $115 billion and guidance for continued heavy investment in 2027 have tempered enthusiasm despite double-digit revenue expansion. With the next earnings release not until October 28 and no major catalysts expected in the week of September 14, trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty around short-term momentum, sector rotation, and broader market volatility, resulting in competitive odds across lower, mid, and higher price bands.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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