Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points, and his unopposed March 2026 primary victory. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, reflecting its structural partisan composition and Guest’s established record since 2019. His substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. While the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or voter priorities in this central Mississippi district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ゲスト（共和党）
97%
マイケル・キアラディオ（民主党）
<1%
$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・ゲスト（共和党）
$22,644 Vol.
97%
マイケル・キアラディオ（民主党）
$39,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points, and his unopposed March 2026 primary victory. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, reflecting its structural partisan composition and Guest’s established record since 2019. His substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. While the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or voter priorities in this central Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$62,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points, and his unopposed March 2026 primary victory. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, reflecting its structural partisan composition and Guest’s established record since 2019. His substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. While the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or voter priorities in this central Mississippi district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$62,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest holds a commanding lead in the MS-03 House race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, consistent historical margins exceeding 20 points, and his unopposed March 2026 primary victory. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as safe Republican, reflecting its structural partisan composition and Guest’s established record since 2019. His substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Michael Chiaradio further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. While the November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unexpected national political realignments that alter turnout or voter priorities in this central Mississippi district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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