Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?

カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?

icon for カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?

カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$12,340 Vol.

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$12,340 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Stable relationship dynamics and explicit reports of no rush explain the 87.5% market-implied probability against an engagement in 2026.** Multiple credible entertainment outlets, citing insiders, note that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet—dating since 2023 and appearing together at events like the 2026 Critics Choice Awards, Oscars, and World Cup—remain committed and affectionate, with Chalamet publicly acknowledging her in acceptance speeches. However, sources consistently state the couple is “very much in love” yet has “no plans to rush an engagement,” preferring their current pace after more than three years. Early-2026 speculation about possible milestones has been tempered by later updates emphasizing they are “not rushing anything” and “love how their relationship is.” With the year more than three-quarters complete and no confirmed steps toward a proposal, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 engagement absent a sudden shift.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,340
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jan 18, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Stable relationship dynamics and explicit reports of no rush explain the 87.5% market-implied probability against an engagement in 2026.** Multiple credible entertainment outlets, citing insiders, note that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet—dating since 2023 and appearing together at events like the 2026 Critics Choice Awards, Oscars, and World Cup—remain committed and affectionate, with Chalamet publicly acknowledging her in acceptance speeches. However, sources consistently state the couple is “very much in love” yet has “no plans to rush an engagement,” preferring their current pace after more than three years. Early-2026 speculation about possible milestones has been tempered by later updates emphasizing they are “not rushing anything” and “love how their relationship is.” With the year more than three-quarters complete and no confirmed steps toward a proposal, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of a 2026 engagement absent a sudden shift.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Kylie Jenner is engaged to be married to Timothée Chalamet by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is announced that Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kylie Jenner and/or Timothée Chalamet or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,340
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jan 18, 2026, 2:01 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメが2026年に婚約?」で18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、18¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に18%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?」は$12.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 18, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメが2026年に婚約?」で18%であり、市場がこの結果に18%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「カイリー・ジェンナーとティモシー・シャラメは2026年に婚約しましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。