Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
メリッサ・ビーン（民主党）
94%
ジェニファー・デイビス（共和党）
6%
$21,818 Vol.
$21,818 Vol.
2026/11/02
メリッサ・ビーン（民主党）
$9,791 Vol.
94%
ジェニファー・デイビス（共和党）
$12,027 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,818終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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