Northeast monsoon flow over Taiwan is the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Taipei on September 11, with official Central Weather Administration forecasts showing a 24–29 °C range amid increased moisture, cloud cover, and localized showers. This pattern, reinforced by northeasterly winds of 7–13 m/s, favors modest afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C while limiting solar heating and convective warming that typically push September maxima higher. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this cooler regime rather than any rapid warming trend, though minor shifts in wind strength or rainfall timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to weigh these official thresholds heavily given the narrow spread among 28–30 °C outcomes and the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 30%
30℃ 26%
28℃ 22%
31℃ 12%
24℃以下
1%
25℃
2%
26℃
3%
27℃
7%
28℃
22%
29°C
30%
30℃
26%
31℃
12%
32℃
3%
33℃
2%
34°C以上
<1%
29°C 30%
30℃ 26%
28℃ 22%
31℃ 12%
24℃以下
1%
25℃
2%
26℃
3%
27℃
7%
28℃
22%
29°C
30%
30℃
26%
31℃
12%
32℃
3%
33℃
2%
34°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Northeast monsoon flow over Taiwan is the dominant driver suppressing daytime highs in Taipei on September 11, with official Central Weather Administration forecasts showing a 24–29 °C range amid increased moisture, cloud cover, and localized showers. This pattern, reinforced by northeasterly winds of 7–13 m/s, favors modest afternoon temperatures near 28–29 °C while limiting solar heating and convective warming that typically push September maxima higher. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this cooler regime rather than any rapid warming trend, though minor shifts in wind strength or rainfall timing could nudge the daily maximum by 1 °C. Traders appear to weigh these official thresholds heavily given the narrow spread among 28–30 °C outcomes and the proximity to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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