Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and multi-model ensembles indicate a mostly sunny day with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 25, supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average high of 18.2°C. Stable high-pressure conditions favor modest solar heating without significant warm-air advection, keeping probabilities concentrated on 18–19°C. Model consensus shows little spread, with no runs projecting 20°C or higher, which explains the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes and minimal odds on warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through September 24 has shown no upward revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
19℃ 57%
18℃ 36%
20℃ 6%
17°C 3%
12℃以下
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16℃
3%
17°C
3%
18℃
36%
19℃
57%
20℃
6%
21°C
2%
22°C以上
1%
19℃ 57%
18℃ 36%
20℃ 6%
17°C 3%
12℃以下
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16℃
3%
17°C
3%
18℃
36%
19℃
57%
20℃
6%
21°C
2%
22°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD), ECMWF, and multi-model ensembles indicate a mostly sunny day with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover over Munich on September 25, supporting a daytime maximum near the long-term average high of 18.2°C. Stable high-pressure conditions favor modest solar heating without significant warm-air advection, keeping probabilities concentrated on 18–19°C. Model consensus shows little spread, with no runs projecting 20°C or higher, which explains the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes and minimal odds on warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through September 24 has shown no upward revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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