Recent official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C in Manila on September 25, driven by light to moderate westerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity, which suppress further warming despite the approach of the dry season transition. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–34°C, with 33°C emerging as the most consistent outcome across GFS and regional runs; brief clearing could allow a 34°C spike, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap readings at 32°C. Updated PAGASA and NHC-adjacent guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月25日のマニラの最高気温は？
9月25日のマニラの最高気温は？
33℃ 56%
32℃ 29%
34℃ 18%
31℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
27°C以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
1%
31℃
2%
32℃
29%
33℃
56%
34℃
18%
35℃
<1%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
33℃ 56%
32℃ 29%
34℃ 18%
31℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
27°C以下
$156 Vol.
1%
28°C
$80 Vol.
1%
29°C
$33 Vol.
1%
30℃
$266 Vol.
1%
31℃
$399 Vol.
2%
32℃
$797 Vol.
29%
33℃
$3,124 Vol.
56%
34℃
$697 Vol.
18%
35℃
$282 Vol.
<1%
36℃
$15 Vol.
1%
37℃以上
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C in Manila on September 25, driven by light to moderate westerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity, which suppress further warming despite the approach of the dry season transition. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–34°C, with 33°C emerging as the most consistent outcome across GFS and regional runs; brief clearing could allow a 34°C spike, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap readings at 32°C. Updated PAGASA and NHC-adjacent guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
音量
$6,021終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C in Manila on September 25, driven by light to moderate westerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity, which suppress further warming despite the approach of the dry season transition. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–34°C, with 33°C emerging as the most consistent outcome across GFS and regional runs; brief clearing could allow a 34°C spike, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap readings at 32°C. Updated PAGASA and NHC-adjacent guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,021終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models indicate a highest temperature near 33°C in Manila on September 25, driven by light to moderate westerly to northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Current surface observations show dew points near 24–25°C and high humidity, which suppress further warming despite the approach of the dry season transition. Ensemble forecasts cluster between 31–34°C, with 33°C emerging as the most consistent outcome across GFS and regional runs; brief clearing could allow a 34°C spike, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap readings at 32°C. Updated PAGASA and NHC-adjacent guidance tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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