**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の成都の最高気温は？
9月13日の成都の最高気温は？
26℃ 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
2026/09/13
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃以上
いいえ
26℃ 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$87,846 Vol.
$87,846 Vol.
2026/09/13
20℃以下
$3,248 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$2,571 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$21,314 Vol.
いいえ
23℃
$15,083 Vol.
いいえ
24℃
$11,884 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$8,660 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$10,674 Vol.
はい
27℃
$6,647 Vol.
いいえ
28℃
$5,166 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$1,333 Vol.
いいえ
30℃以上
$1,268 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$87,846終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C.
Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$87,846終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Forecast models and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum of 26°C for Chengdu on September 13, 2026.** Mid-September marks the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin, following earlier September highs above 30°C; current atmospheric patterns, including light winds and partial cloud cover, limit further warming while preventing significant cooling. Official guidance from agencies tracking surface temperatures supports this precise peak, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability for 26°C. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include localized measurement variations at the designated station, unforecasted cloud dissipation leading to brief additional warming, or post-observation adjustments in final data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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