Recent forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 11, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with the market's strong consensus around 31°C (57% implied probability) and 32°C (24%), as ensemble guidance clusters highs near 29–31°C—slightly above the long-term September 11 average of 27°C. Low precipitation risk and dry air further favor the upper end of typical ranges, though minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty for exact peak values. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these estimates ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の北京の最高気温は？
9月11日の北京の最高気温は？
31°C 57%
32°C 24%
30℃ 14%
33°C 5%
新規
$10,457 Vol.
新規
$10,457 Vol.
2026/09/11
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29℃
3%
30℃
14%
31°C
57%
32°C
24%
33°C
5%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
31°C 57%
32°C 24%
30℃ 14%
33°C 5%
新規
$10,457 Vol.
新規
$10,457 Vol.
2026/09/11
25℃以下
$394 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$588 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$919 Vol.
2%
28°C
$579 Vol.
2%
29℃
$876 Vol.
3%
30℃
$616 Vol.
14%
31°C
$3,219 Vol.
57%
32°C
$1,188 Vol.
24%
33°C
$1,616 Vol.
5%
34℃
$144 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$317 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 11, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with the market's strong consensus around 31°C (57% implied probability) and 32°C (24%), as ensemble guidance clusters highs near 29–31°C—slightly above the long-term September 11 average of 27°C. Low precipitation risk and dry air further favor the upper end of typical ranges, though minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty for exact peak values. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these estimates ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$10,457終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 11, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with the market's strong consensus around 31°C (57% implied probability) and 32°C (24%), as ensemble guidance clusters highs near 29–31°C—slightly above the long-term September 11 average of 27°C. Low precipitation risk and dry air further favor the upper end of typical ranges, though minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty for exact peak values. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these estimates ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,457終了日
2026/09/11マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate clear, sunny conditions over Beijing on September 11, 2026, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup aligns with the market's strong consensus around 31°C (57% implied probability) and 32°C (24%), as ensemble guidance clusters highs near 29–31°C—slightly above the long-term September 11 average of 27°C. Low precipitation risk and dry air further favor the upper end of typical ranges, though minor model spreads in boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty for exact peak values. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine these estimates ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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