Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・フランクリン（共和党）
92%
カーティス・ギブソン（民主党）
9%
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・フランクリン（共和党）
$23,423 Vol.
92%
カーティス・ギブソン（民主党）
$13,787 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$37,209終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,209終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Franklin holds a commanding lead in the FL-18 House race, reflected in the market's 92% implied probability, due to the district's consistent Republican lean (R+8 Cook PVI), his 65% margin in the 2024 general election, and unopposed advancement through the canceled August 2026 Republican primary. Franklin maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $800,000 raised by mid-2026 and strong cash reserves, while Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson, a former Lake Wales city commissioner, reports minimal receipts and limited visibility. Independent analyses from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, significant scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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