Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダン・グリーン（共和党）
64%
ダレン・ソト（民主党）
34%
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダン・グリーン（共和党）
$11,628 Vol.
64%
ダレン・ソト（民主党）
$8,215 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$19,843終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,843終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, contributing to the current trader consensus favoring Republican nominee Dan Green over incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. Green secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with a narrow plurality in a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the district’s altered boundaries ahead of the November 3 general election. Soto advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. Recent polling shows the candidates statistically tied among likely voters, though ratings from multiple forecasters now classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. Green’s campaign has emphasized contrasts on tax relief measures and federal spending priorities, while the market-implied probability reflects the combined effects of the map changes and Green’s primary momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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