Kimi Antonelli enters the Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madring circuit as the clear market leader after extending his drivers’ championship advantage to 66 points with a commanding comeback victory from 19th on the grid at Monza. The 20-year-old Mercedes driver has seven wins this season and leads teammate George Russell, who sits second in the standings. Lando Norris, on 171 points, benefits from McLaren’s recent form on high-downforce tracks, while Lewis Hamilton’s experience and prior Barcelona success keep him relevant. Max Verstappen, winless in 2026 and 140 points adrift, faces a challenging new layout expected to reward quick adaptation amid potential incidents. The untested Madring, with its fast sectors and tight barriers, introduces uncertainty that tempers even the leader’s implied probability in trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Kimi Antonelli 35%
Lando Norris 21%
George Russell 15%
Lewis Hamilton 11%
$30,393 Vol.
$30,393 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
35%
Lando Norris
21%
George Russell
15%
Lewis Hamilton
11%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Max Verstappen
8%
Oscar Piastri
6%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 35%
Lando Norris 21%
George Russell 15%
Lewis Hamilton 11%
$30,393 Vol.
$30,393 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
35%
Lando Norris
21%
George Russell
15%
Lewis Hamilton
11%
Charles Leclerc
8%
Max Verstappen
8%
Oscar Piastri
6%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Nico Hulkenberg
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Kimi Antonelli enters the Spanish Grand Prix at the new Madring circuit as the clear market leader after extending his drivers’ championship advantage to 66 points with a commanding comeback victory from 19th on the grid at Monza. The 20-year-old Mercedes driver has seven wins this season and leads teammate George Russell, who sits second in the standings. Lando Norris, on 171 points, benefits from McLaren’s recent form on high-downforce tracks, while Lewis Hamilton’s experience and prior Barcelona success keep him relevant. Max Verstappen, winless in 2026 and 140 points adrift, faces a challenging new layout expected to reward quick adaptation amid potential incidents. The untested Madring, with its fast sectors and tight barriers, introduces uncertainty that tempers even the leader’s implied probability in trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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