Recent federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell remain in early stages, with FBI agents seizing his electronic devices in mid-August 2026 under search warrants tied to civil rights statutes and related probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities. Forensic review of those devices and witness interviews typically require extended timelines before charging decisions, consistent with patterns in comparable cases involving former members of Congress. No indictments or formal charging announcements have surfaced in the weeks since the warrants, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% implied probability against charges by September 30. Ongoing reviews by multiple jurisdictions and the absence of imminent prosecutorial milestones further align with current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
16% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
16% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell remain in early stages, with FBI agents seizing his electronic devices in mid-August 2026 under search warrants tied to civil rights statutes and related probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities. Forensic review of those devices and witness interviews typically require extended timelines before charging decisions, consistent with patterns in comparable cases involving former members of Congress. No indictments or formal charging announcements have surfaced in the weeks since the warrants, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% implied probability against charges by September 30. Ongoing reviews by multiple jurisdictions and the absence of imminent prosecutorial milestones further align with current market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
音量
$136終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell remain in early stages, with FBI agents seizing his electronic devices in mid-August 2026 under search warrants tied to civil rights statutes and related probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities. Forensic review of those devices and witness interviews typically require extended timelines before charging decisions, consistent with patterns in comparable cases involving former members of Congress. No indictments or formal charging announcements have surfaced in the weeks since the warrants, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% implied probability against charges by September 30. Ongoing reviews by multiple jurisdictions and the absence of imminent prosecutorial milestones further align with current market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$136終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell remain in early stages, with FBI agents seizing his electronic devices in mid-August 2026 under search warrants tied to civil rights statutes and related probes by the Manhattan district attorney and Los Angeles authorities. Forensic review of those devices and witness interviews typically require extended timelines before charging decisions, consistent with patterns in comparable cases involving former members of Congress. No indictments or formal charging announcements have surfaced in the weeks since the warrants, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 83.5% implied probability against charges by September 30. Ongoing reviews by multiple jurisdictions and the absence of imminent prosecutorial milestones further align with current market pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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