Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus on an arrest by September 30. FBI agents executed search warrants in August, seizing electronic devices at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242, while parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been filed to date, and device analysis plus typical prosecutorial timelines often extend beyond short windows. A formal arrest or indictment in the remaining days could shift odds toward "Yes," whereas continued absence of action would reinforce "No" as the resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
0% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
0% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus on an arrest by September 30. FBI agents executed search warrants in August, seizing electronic devices at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242, while parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been filed to date, and device analysis plus typical prosecutorial timelines often extend beyond short windows. A formal arrest or indictment in the remaining days could shift odds toward "Yes," whereas continued absence of action would reinforce "No" as the resolution nears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
音量
$42終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus on an arrest by September 30. FBI agents executed search warrants in August, seizing electronic devices at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242, while parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been filed to date, and device analysis plus typical prosecutorial timelines often extend beyond short windows. A formal arrest or indictment in the remaining days could shift odds toward "Yes," whereas continued absence of action would reinforce "No" as the resolution nears.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$42終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 11:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ongoing federal and state investigations into sexual misconduct allegations against former Rep. Eric Swalwell, which prompted his April 2026 resignation from Congress, underpin the closely balanced trader consensus on an arrest by September 30. FBI agents executed search warrants in August, seizing electronic devices at San Francisco airport and searching his Washington home as part of a civil rights probe under 18 U.S.C. § 242, while parallel inquiries continue with the Manhattan DA and Los Angeles authorities. No charges have been filed to date, and device analysis plus typical prosecutorial timelines often extend beyond short windows. A formal arrest or indictment in the remaining days could shift odds toward "Yes," whereas continued absence of action would reinforce "No" as the resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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