Recent September 2026 tracking shows Elon Musk’s X activity fluctuating sharply, with three-day stretches resolving in the 40-64 range and full weeks landing between 160-239 posts, underscoring the unpredictability that keeps the October 2026 market wide open. The modest lead for 1000+ reflects traders pricing in his historical capacity for intense bursts tied to Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary, while lower brackets capture quieter stretches during travel or low-news periods. Key swing factors include upcoming product milestones, any renewed government or election-cycle involvement, and his documented pattern of round-the-clock engagement that can spike or drop without warning. This volatility leaves no dominant consensus ahead of the month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1000+ 33%
960-999 12%
800-839 11%
920-959 10%
$39,122 Vol.
$39,122 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
2%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
3%
780-799
8%
800-839
11%
840-879
9%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
12%
1000+
33%
1000+ 33%
960-999 12%
800-839 11%
920-959 10%
$39,122 Vol.
$39,122 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
2%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
3%
780-799
8%
800-839
11%
840-879
9%
880-919
10%
920-959
10%
960-999
12%
1000+
33%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent September 2026 tracking shows Elon Musk’s X activity fluctuating sharply, with three-day stretches resolving in the 40-64 range and full weeks landing between 160-239 posts, underscoring the unpredictability that keeps the October 2026 market wide open. The modest lead for 1000+ reflects traders pricing in his historical capacity for intense bursts tied to Tesla deliveries, xAI updates, or political commentary, while lower brackets capture quieter stretches during travel or low-news periods. Key swing factors include upcoming product milestones, any renewed government or election-cycle involvement, and his documented pattern of round-the-clock engagement that can spike or drop without warning. This volatility leaves no dominant consensus ahead of the month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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