Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Single of the Year trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented commercial dominance, including 21-plus weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, Song of the Summer honors, and back-to-back ACM Single and Song of the Year wins. The track’s sustained radio, streaming, and sales performance, paired with Langley’s nine CMA nominations, has created overwhelming consensus among bettors. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (13.5%) and Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (10.5%) sit as distant challengers on the strength of their own chart traction and nominations, while Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trails further behind. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date, though late momentum shifts appear unlikely given the current standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年CMAシングル・オブ・ザ・イヤー
2026年CMAシングル・オブ・ザ・イヤー
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー） 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト） 13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン） 10%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン） 7.4%
新規
新規
2026/11/18
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー）
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト）
13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン）
11%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン）
7%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー）
4%
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー） 70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト） 13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン） 10%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン） 7.4%
新規
新規
2026/11/18
Choosin' Texas（エラ・ラングリー）
$73 Vol.
70%
I Knew It, I Knew You（テイラー・スウィフト）
$23 Vol.
13%
Somewhere Over Laredo（ラネイ・ウィルソン）
$63 Vol.
11%
The Fall（コーディ・ジョンソン）
$33 Vol.
7%
Be Her（エラ・ラングリー）
$200 Vol.
4%
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Single of the Year trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented commercial dominance, including 21-plus weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, Song of the Summer honors, and back-to-back ACM Single and Song of the Year wins. The track’s sustained radio, streaming, and sales performance, paired with Langley’s nine CMA nominations, has created overwhelming consensus among bettors. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (13.5%) and Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (10.5%) sit as distant challengers on the strength of their own chart traction and nominations, while Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trails further behind. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date, though late momentum shifts appear unlikely given the current standings.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
音量
$392終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Single of the Year trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented commercial dominance, including 21-plus weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, Song of the Summer honors, and back-to-back ACM Single and Song of the Year wins. The track’s sustained radio, streaming, and sales performance, paired with Langley’s nine CMA nominations, has created overwhelming consensus among bettors. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (13.5%) and Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (10.5%) sit as distant challengers on the strength of their own chart traction and nominations, while Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trails further behind. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date, though late momentum shifts appear unlikely given the current standings.
The Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed single that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year.
If a listed single is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Single of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning single whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$392終了日
2026/11/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 7:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” leads CMA Single of the Year trader sentiment at 69.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented commercial dominance, including 21-plus weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100, Song of the Summer honors, and back-to-back ACM Single and Song of the Year wins. The track’s sustained radio, streaming, and sales performance, paired with Langley’s nine CMA nominations, has created overwhelming consensus among bettors. Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You” (13.5%) and Lainey Wilson’s “Somewhere Over Laredo” (10.5%) sit as distant challengers on the strength of their own chart traction and nominations, while Cody Johnson’s “The Fall” trails further behind. The November 18 ceremony remains the key resolution date, though late momentum shifts appear unlikely given the current standings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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