Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, has faced repeated procedural blocks in the Republican-led House Rules Committee and Senate objections, stalling all measures in committee without floor votes through September 2026. The 90% cap, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, generates projected revenue while drawing industry opposition and lobbying from groups like the American Gaming Association, yet competing priorities and lack of unified support have prevented attachment to must-pass bills. Recent appeals, such as UFC President Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not shifted legislative momentum. Traders price an 83% chance of no full repeal by December 31, 2026, reflecting these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled action capable of overriding them before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
20% 確率
$71,489 Vol.
$71,489 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
20% 確率
$71,489 Vol.
$71,489 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, has faced repeated procedural blocks in the Republican-led House Rules Committee and Senate objections, stalling all measures in committee without floor votes through September 2026. The 90% cap, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, generates projected revenue while drawing industry opposition and lobbying from groups like the American Gaming Association, yet competing priorities and lack of unified support have prevented attachment to must-pass bills. Recent appeals, such as UFC President Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not shifted legislative momentum. Traders price an 83% chance of no full repeal by December 31, 2026, reflecting these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled action capable of overriding them before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$71,489終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, has faced repeated procedural blocks in the Republican-led House Rules Committee and Senate objections, stalling all measures in committee without floor votes through September 2026. The 90% cap, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, generates projected revenue while drawing industry opposition and lobbying from groups like the American Gaming Association, yet competing priorities and lack of unified support have prevented attachment to must-pass bills. Recent appeals, such as UFC President Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not shifted legislative momentum. Traders price an 83% chance of no full repeal by December 31, 2026, reflecting these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled action capable of overriding them before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$71,489終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan repeal legislation, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, has faced repeated procedural blocks in the Republican-led House Rules Committee and Senate objections, stalling all measures in committee without floor votes through September 2026. The 90% cap, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax year 2026, generates projected revenue while drawing industry opposition and lobbying from groups like the American Gaming Association, yet competing priorities and lack of unified support have prevented attachment to must-pass bills. Recent appeals, such as UFC President Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not shifted legislative momentum. Traders price an 83% chance of no full repeal by December 31, 2026, reflecting these persistent barriers and the absence of scheduled action capable of overriding them before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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